PECOTA: Predictions Entirely Coming Outta Their A**es

Every year, the geeks, nerds and losers at Baseball Prospectus take a break from playing Dungeons and Dragons, and decide to make asinine predictions about the upcoming baseball season. These predictions are based on several sets of sabermetric algorithms that are meant to predict a player's performance, therefore eliminating everything that makes baseball, BASEBALL.

Oh no! How can you label what a mathematical genius does as asinine? With great ease, actually.

My fellow fans, I'll let you in on a little secret: PECOTA doesn't stand for what the title of this blog post says it does. Though my title is an accurate description of what it is, PECOTA really stands for: Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm.

Yeah. How about I tell you nerds what to do with your PECOTA?

Apparently, while I was sleeping, Major League Baseball became a sport played by computers and not by humans. It must be so if the entire sport runs on a bunch of algorithms.

Ladies and gentlemen, tonight's batting lineup:

SS - BlackBerry

DH - iPhone

1B - iPod Touch

3B  - Motorola Droid

C   - MacBook Pro

CF - Toshiba

RF - Nintendo Wii

2B - XBOX 360

LF - iPad

Actually, I think I'll bat the XBOX after the Droid. The MacBook isn't providing sufficient protection anymore.

Stat Zombies in general piss me off (and a lot of them are probably reading this blog right now - I'm so scared! Please don't come after me with your TI-83's and pocket protectors!).

 Everything, just everything, is about statistics to them. Players aren't human, they're numerical models. They're walking, talking, eating, sleeping, and breathing numbers. Athletes are incapable of having career years, hot or cold streaks, or even mental problems. Players are incapable of choking under pressure, or even being clutch. Every single statistic or number these players put up shapes who they are, and how they will be in the future.

Where do I even begin to tackle this stupidity?

 If you haven't seen them yet, click HERE to check out the Baseball Prospectus PECOTA Depth Charts.

Do I even need to point out how ridiculous these predictions are? Until these dorks put down their calculators and pick up a bat or glove, I refuse to take anything they have to say seriously. Do these zombies really think that their predictions hold any degree of truth and accuracy? Let me tell you, any match between PECOTA and reality is purely coincidental.

I'm not sure what pisses me off more: the fact that the Stat Zombies keep believing these predictions will come true, or the fact that they probably don't watch any baseball because they're too busy tweaking algorithms. They must not watch any baseball, because they don't seem to realize that their accuracy percentage among predictions is worse than Johnny Damon's fielding percentage among left fielders. Much worse.

Furthermore, these Stat-Monkeys seem to have the memory span of goldfish. A player could have a horrible career then have one career year and suddenly he's the second-coming of Babe Ruth. Have these nerds not expanded their memory chips? Are they incapable of remembering these guys in a game dating back to over a year ago? I'm not just talking about the Baseball Prospectus losers behind PECOTA, I'm also talking about the idiots who actually believe in these statistics.

While real baseball fans live and die by every pitch and every hit, Stat Zombies live and die by every statistic and every numerical trend. If baseball was truly run by algorithms, don't you think that Japan would have better baseball leagues than America? No one creates better algorithms than the Japanese. I'm not being racist, I'm just stating facts. If baseball ran on algorithms, then Kei Igawa would have been the second-coming of Cy Young.

Give me a break.

You may think that I'm only ranting about this because PECOTA Depth Charts show the Yankees in third place in the AL East. That's not true. The actual predictions are irrelevant. I'd be ranting and raving even if these idiots predicted that the Yankees' record in 2010 would be 162-0.

The predictions make no difference to me whatsoever. First of all, I don't take any prediction made before spring training seriously. Secondly, I don't care how good they are in the world of Mathematics, these Stat Zombies are idiots when it comes to baseball. When you remove the most important factor about an athlete, the human factor, you are an idiot. If players weren't human then there would be no need for the Disabled List. There would be no point in even watching a game, because we would all know the outcome. Betting on a game wouldn't be gambling, and we'd all be able to make a lot of money and live happily ever after. I'm not angry about the actual predictions. I simply don't care about them. My beef is with these people degrading the sport of baseball, and lowering it to the level of mere numbers. That is what I have a problem with.

Another thing I have a problem with is that Stat Zombies are feeding the baseball-ignorance that exists among fans today. Not only the zombies at Baseball Prospectus, but also several "analysts" who seem to base everything they say on statistics, rather than thinking for themselves. These so-called analysts feed information to the public and brainwash the masses into thinking that baseball is all about numbers. While numbers in baseball do play a significant role, it is completely idiotic to think that they play the most vital role. That is why predictions like the ones on the PECOTA Depth Charts annoy me. Not because of the projections, but because of their effects on the minds of ignorant fans.

The morons behind PECOTA have a deep understanding of statistics and mathematical models, but their understanding of baseball as a sport is as shallow as the water in a puddle on a flat surface. Guess what, Stat Zombies, there's more to baseball than numerical trends. Sorry for the rude awakening, but maybe you should put your calculators down and step away from Google for a few minutes, and realize that statistics do not make the player. Numbers do not make the team.

So, what do I think of PECOTA? Baseball Prospectus can go choke on one.